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Reading: Ethereum – Is it possible for ETH to fall again after falling below the realized price and 200WMA?
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Ethereum

Ethereum – Is it possible for ETH to fall again after falling below the realized price and 200WMA?

May 22, 2026 3 Min Read
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  • No second wind for bulls
  • Last abstract

Since March, Ethereum ($ETH) Bulls are struggling to interrupt out of the $2,400 resistance stage. Though Bitcoin (BTC) was capable of overcome main psychological resistance at $70,000 and $80,000, $ETH It failed to assemble related momentum and rise to the $2,700-$2,900 ranges.

Supply: Glassnode

Trying on the larger timeframe shifting averages reveals a bearish development. $ETH The development was seen as the value fell under 200DMA and 200WMA. The latter particularly is a notable demarcation line for long-term traits and has acted as each help and resistance many occasions.

The 111DMA at $2,186 is anticipated to be help, however the development has been bearish since September 2025.

Supply: CryptoQuant

The bearish worth development gave the impression to be inconsistent with long-term market conviction. For instance – Ethereum’s whole stake has been growing for the reason that starting of 2026, in line with CryptoQuant analyst Rei Researcher.

This development has now slowed down in Could as customers restructured their portfolios or withdrew funds for liquidity. Nonetheless, regardless of lackluster worth efficiency, this yr’s uptrend reveals long-term confidence.

No second wind for bulls

Supply: AliCharts on X

Moreover, analyst Ali Martinez identified in a publish on X that the TD Sequential indicator is exhibiting a promote sign. $ETH. Prior to now, weekly alerts from the indicator had been adopted by decisive worth actions.

For instance, a promote sign from this indicator in August 2025 preceded a correction of 63%.

Supply: Glassnode

Though worth traits recommended warning, the MVRV Market Extremes indicator confirmed that Ethereum has been considerably undervalued since February. It needs to be famous that it was additionally underestimated in March and April 2025.

See also  Ethereum Varittertar shows intention to raise gas limits to 45m

Nevertheless, the steep slope didn’t cease $ETH The worth declined after retesting the realized worth of $2,036. One other related rejection is prone to happen earlier than MVRV reaches excessive lows, which have a tendency to point long-term market bottoms.

Traders needs to be cautious of additional worth declines. The shifting averages recommended an ongoing downtrend, and the weekly TD sequential additionally agreed with that speculation.


Last abstract

  • The rise in whole stakes on Ethereum signifies a long-term steady market confidence.
  • This long-term perception isn’t sufficient to stall $ETHNevertheless, there’s a downtrend as one other sharp correction might be coming.

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Reading: Ethereum – Is it possible for ETH to fall again after falling below the realized price and 200WMA?
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