Within the final week of 2025, weekly prediction market notional buying and selling quantity exceeded $5.3 billion, and the primary week of 2026 pulled the identical trick, once more crossing $5 billion and marking a brand new report on the sector’s ledger.
Prediction markets entice lots of consideration
Prediction markets have been within the highlight lately, and information compiled by Dune Analytics reveals that three platforms run the vast majority of the tables. The primary week of 2026 numbers present that 2026 started with a buying and selling quantity of $5.26 billion, simply shy of the December 29 excessive of $5.38 billion.
Dune.com information compiled by @datadashboards exhibits Kalsi dominated the primary week of 2026, capturing 38.2% of the overall notional worth throughout seven totally different prediction markets. Following Kalsi is Opinion, a BNB-based prediction market that has been seeing severe quantity since late October. A lot of that exercise seems to be associated to Opinion’s Factors-Based mostly Rewards System (PTS), which is quickly gaining adoption with the engaging prospect of PTS applications and airdrops.
Two views exhibiting the notional worth of seven totally different prediction markets. Dune.com information compiled by @datadashboards.
Opinion at the moment accounts for 30.3% of weekly notional buying and selling quantity, whereas the long-running polymarket lags behind at 28.6% of the pie. Predict.enjoyable has about 2.1%, Forecastex, Limitless and Myriad every have lower than 1%, and on the buying and selling aspect Polymarket leads with 11.4 million transactions within the first week of the 12 months, adopted by Kalshi with simply over 11 million, and Opinion with over 683,000 transactions.
As of January 16, 2025, the latest date recorded on the Dune.com dashboard, whole market open curiosity reached $892 million. The mix of curiosity, demand, and quantity has garnered lots of consideration, and lots of anticipate the area to turn into even bigger and extra aggressive.
On high of that, Calci and Polymarket made an enormous capital injection, carving out true mainstream traction with Calci partnering with CNBC, CNN, and MSNBC. Past cable information, Carsi partnered with the NHL to rent golfer Bryson DeChambeau as its first athlete endorser, utilizing him for promotions and new market launches.
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Polymarket has entered right into a partnership with the Golden Globe Awards and the Dow Jones Firm. wall road journal—New York Rangers, Yahoo Finance, Parcl, and extra. Moreover, Polymarket obtained a $2 billion capital injection from Intercontinental Change (ICE), giving the platform deep pockets and deep pockets.
Dune.com information compiled by @datadashboards.
YZi Labs-backed Opinion shortly grabbed a good portion of the weekly sector’s quantity after its launch, however it hasn’t precisely slipped in quietly. There are different corporations sniffing round prediction markets, together with Crypto.com, Draftkings, Robinhood, Fanduel, and Coinbase.
One factor is obvious from the growth, quantity, competitiveness and progress of the sector. That mentioned, prediction markets have not pale into the background, and the class has grown far past a short lived novelty. Nowadays, it’s quickly turning into gold rush territory, with platforms giant and small speeding to stake their declare, as the expansion of prediction markets attracts in an ever-crowded discipline.
Steadily requested questions 🔮
- What’s driving the rise in weekly prediction market quantity?
Weekly prediction market volumes are rising throughout international markets as a consequence of elevated buying and selling exercise and elevated competitors between main platforms. - Which platforms are competing for prediction market quantity?
Because the sector attracts extra customers and capital, a number of main prediction market platforms are competing for liquidity and market share. - Why is buying and selling quantity essential in prediction markets?
Greater volumes enhance liquidity, pricing accuracy, and person belief, making the platform extra aggressive at scale. - What impression will Polymarket’s funding have on this sector?
As competitors intensifies within the international prediction market area, Polymarket strengthens its place with a $2 billion capital injection from Intercontinental Change.
